Category Archive: Yield Curve

Nov 15

Australian Government Bond Yield Curve…certainly not going up

Source: RBA I’ve uploaded the above chart in preparation for a presentation I’m giving tomorrow on portfolio construction. Anyway, the message isn’t really a great deal different from previous posts commenting on the Government bond yield curve. Namely, Interest rates are very low…you should be able to get some nice low fixed interest rates for …

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Oct 22

Australian Government Bond Yield Curve…still struggling

Source: RBA & Delta Research & Advisory I can’t believe how time is flying and it is more than a month since I posted my last bond yield curve. The Mid Year Economic & Fiscal Outlook released today has provided numbers supporting a further slowdown in government revenue and this economic weakness has certainly been …

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Sep 18

Australian Government Bond Yield Curve…no change???

Source: RBA, Delta Research & Advisory Bizaarely as it seems but the above chart shows that over the last month the Australian Government Bond Yield curve has barely budged. There’s really no more than 5 to 10 bps difference across all terms and when you consider the various big announcements, economic results from here, overseas …

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Aug 20

Australian Government Bond Yield Curve…continued improvement

Source: RBA With equity markets improving over the past few weeks, so too have Australian Government Bond yields increased. 10 Year yields were below 3% a couple of months ago and now they are hovering near 3.5%. For Australian bond fund owners that should be a capital loss of close to 2% since mid-June. Nevetheless …

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Aug 11

Investment Perspectives

Its been a while since I put some of my broader investment thoughts in writing and I’ve just written almost 4000 words to satisfy that…so it also sort of makes up for my lack of posting. So below is a lot of what I have written and hopefully its readable for anyone interested…I actually haven’t …

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Aug 02

Australian Government Bond Yield Curve…slight increase but risks remain

Source:RBA The above chart shows that over the last few weeks there has been an increase of around 10-25bps across the yield curve which is also in line with the marginally stronger equity markets. As I’ve stated numerous times before, the European situation is what is currently driving most major market moves and the partial …

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Jul 10

Australian Government Yield Curve…little change recently

Source: RBA Its been a few weeks since I posted my last Australian bond yield curve but nothing’s really changed. I guess its even true when it comes to the economics of the world…China’s data is mixed and not as strong as once expected; US continues to produce mixed data including more weak employment data; …

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Jun 19

Australian Government Bond Yields…a little lower still this month

Source: Reserve Bank, Bloomberg I’ve placed this chart on my website more as a reference for an upcoming presentation I’m giving than for any real message it conveys. Basically not too much change…yields are slightly lower than they were at the end of May but they increased a little from a couple of weeks ago …

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Jun 07

Great GDP result…though we’re still a multi-speed economy

I know I’m a day late with this but anyway… like everyone I was absolutely shocked at the sensational GDP result that came out yesterday. Since August last year the bond market has been moving in a direction that indicates our economy is not what it seems but nevertheless the 12 months to March 2012 shows real …

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Jun 01

Negative Interest Rates Anyone?

Australian Government Bond Yield Curve – 1 June 2012 – 4.06pm Source: www.bloomberg.com The 3 year Australian government bond is currently 2.06%…this is truly extraordinary. When you throw in the fact that Germany, USA, and Switzerland also have record low bond yields its really looking like a serious run for safety…but major equity markets haven’t really moved …

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