Michael

Author's details

Date registered: January 28, 2012

Latest posts

  1. Random Thoughts on Cryptocurrencies at a Random time of the year — December 31, 2022
  2. Investment Philosophy … a short primer — June 6, 2022
  3. A Few ESG Investment Thoughts — June 28, 2021
  4. Approaching the Zero bound — May 22, 2020
  5. Worry about Valuations??? … yeah, a bit … — April 24, 2020

Author's posts listings

Mar 20

Australian Government Bond Yields…approaching normal

Well…not normal yet. The shorter part of the curve suggests the market is expecting another two 25bps cuts by the RBA but with the Euro sovereign crisis well and truly looking much better its highly unlikely there’ll be any cuts soon. Whilst there’s plenty of evidence that shows the Euro sovereign crisis has improved, nothing …

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Mar 15

Having a crack at Goldman Sachs

Yesterday, the New York Times published details of a resignation letter of a very senior Goldman Sachs employee who totally ripped into the culture and product flogging mentality of Goldman Sachs. For anyone interested in the letter, whcih is quite an entertaining read for those of us in the industry, here it is… Goldman Sachs Letter. …

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Mar 13

Corporate Bond ETF or Big 4 Bond ETF????

I was quite excited to see the launch of the new Russell Select Australian Corporate Bond fund over the past few days. I thought the ability to have a diversified Australian bond fund that has the ability to provide a bit of credit risk for a more diversified portfolio would be great. Unfortunately when I …

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Mar 10

SPIVA…Australian Small Cap managers demonstrate skill

The SPIVA report was released a few days ago and as I’ve mentioend before it is my favourite assessment of the success of fund managers because it takes into consideration survivorship bias…in other words, if you want to know who are the best fund managers over the last year, then you start with all fund …

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Mar 06

Australian Bond Yields…still edging up

Source: RBA I know the above chart is a couple of days old but there’s not much change since last Thursday. At its simplest what it shows is that the bond market is still expecting the Reserve Bank to decrease interest rates some time during the year…with 1 year bond yields at less than 4%, …

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Mar 04

Portfolio vs Asset Allocation…potential pitfalls

Many financial planners recommend their clients follow a particular Strategic Asset Allocation that may be based on the output of the combination of a risk profile as well as matching the client’s needs. For example, a popular strategic asset allocation for a “balanced” portfolio may be along the lines of… Australian Shares 35% Global Shares …

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Mar 01

A Letter from Zilch Capital…

This link from The Economist was passed onto me today and is a hilariously written letter from a fictitional hedge fund manager to its investors. I have reproduced the full letter below (I hope The Economist doesn’t mind) … Dear investor, In line with the rest of our industry we are making some changes to …

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Feb 26

Jeremy Grantham’s latest Must-Read

Jeremy Grantham’s latest quarterly newsletter is on the GMO website and as usual it is an educational, pragmatic and brilliant read. There is so much to take away from this one. There are three parts to his ‘longest quarterly letter ever’… 1. Investment advice from your Uncle Polonius …which contains 10 absolute must read points. …

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Feb 24

I always like a good interest rate or yield

Unfortunately whilst the yield on Greek 1 year bonds is high at 730% (yes there’s no decimal point), it can hardly be described as good. When you have a 730% interest rate on your 1 year loan, its pretty safe to say that your chances of paying it back are zero. I understand why Greece …

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Feb 20

Excellent long term performance from bonds…but there’s a lot more to it

A look at the average returns of bonds over the last 30 years does not suggest that equity returns have really been worth the risk. Table 1 shows the returns on Australian Bonds (Aust Comm Bank All Series/All Maturities) versus the accumulated return of the Australian sharemarket (S&P/ASX 200 TR) and whilst equities have the better performance …

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