Category Archive: Equities

Apr 12

Is there a “value” bubble in Australia?

Source: Morningstar Direct, Delta Research & Advisory The above chart shows the performance of the MSCI Australian Value GR index vs the MSCI Australian Growth GR index and I’m sure you would agree there is quite a divergence in performance. In fact, as the numbers show over the last 3 years, the Value index has outperformed …

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Apr 12

A Couple of Market Outlook Reports (JV w RIMSec)

I’m a little late with the first one of these but the second is hot of the press, so to speak. The following links are Market outlook reports provided by Rim Securities, and written by yours truly for Delta Research & Advisory. The March update (that is only 2-3 weeks old) can be downloaded here; …

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Mar 30

Australian Government Bond Yield Curve…still well supported

Source: RBA, Delta Research & Advisory The above chart shows that the Australian Government Bond Yield Curve really hasn’t moved that much in the last 3 months…around an increase of 20bps which is not much at all when you consider all the talk about switching from equities to bonds. The reality is that there has …

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Feb 15

Global Returns Yearbook

One of my favourite reports has just been released, Credit Suisse Global Returns Yearbook. Aside from showing long term investment returns from the major exchanges around the world there are some fascinating articles on some of the latest thinking that relates to investment considerations. This year the articles are… The low return world Mean reversion, …

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Feb 11

A quick look at equity and bond markets

Source: www.incrediblecharts.com As the above chart shows the Australian Sharemarket has had a stellar run over the last 3 months. Not a hint of volatility just upwards she goes from around 4350 to just short of 5000…throw in a very small number of dividends and its a superb return. Newspaper talk has suggested that there is a …

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Feb 06

Sharemarket exuberance reflected in higher earnings forecasts…not

Source: RBA The RBA released its chart pack today and there are few charts I always like to look and in recent months its been the above, Forecast Earnings per Share. Its very difficult to see but the update to this chart shows a tiny movement sideways…so…its the first time for quite a few months …

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Jan 11

Australian Government Bond Yield Curve…still barely moving but…

Source: RBA, Delta Research & Advisory I had no idea that I’ve only posted twice since November, so here I am again with my favourite chart, the Australian Government Bond Yield. As the above chart shows, over the past couple of months, yields have increased on average around 20bps across the longer end of the …

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Nov 29

Investing in Asia…a wild ride irrespective of its economy

I just did an interview with Money Magazine about investing in Asia and I have to admit that it is one of the most popular requests I’ve had in recent years from advisers and/or their clients. The main reason for the request is that investors want exposure to the strong Asian economic growth story (which …

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Nov 09

Managed Volatility…the next popular equity strategy

There’s a brief article in today’s Investor Daily News that comments on “Managed Volatility” being the strategy to maximise returns…article here. I have to admit that I believe this strategy will be one of the new trends in equity focused managed funds over the next 12 months or so. Empirical evidence over the years the …

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Nov 08

Does Value offer much Value? … this is a discussion on equities performance

Source: MorningstarDirect The above chart shows the performance of the MSCI Australia Value index versus the MSCI Australia Growth index over the last 12 months (in fact through to close of trading yesterday). There’s obviously a hug divergence in performance as the Value index has returned more than 21% whilst the Growth index has barely …

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