Category Archive: Interest Rates

Oct 29

Global Economic Data…interactive chart

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Jun 20

Market Inflation Expectations…lower than RBA

The above chart shows the yields for Australian Government Bonds, both nominal bonds and indexed bonds, as at the end of last week (although you can adjust the pricing date to any trading day of 2016). A simple way to determine the market’s inflation expectations over different timeframes is to simply subtract the difference. If …

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Jun 19

Major Central Bank Interest Rates … interactive chart

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Feb 07

Some Simplisitic Australian Market Analysis … setting a forecast baseline and a few trend-lines

Like all economies, the Australian economy is always facing significant challenges. Since 1970 there has been the 1973 oil crisis and double digit inflation of the 1970s, the 1980-81 recession, further high inflation of the 1980s, crash of 1987, the recession we had to have in 1991, Asian crisis of 1998, global tech crash from …

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Feb 21

A few simple thoughts on a few not so simple markets

Following are my recent thoughts around markets with many charts to support these views. These views are far from complete but do represent a reasonable summary at this point in time. Income Assets   Source: RBA, Delta Research & Advisory The above left chart suggests the market believes the cash rate is heading towards 1.5% …

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May 16

Australian Bond Yield Curve…small budget led drop

Source: RBA, Delta Research & Advisory At the e shorter end of the yield curve there hasn’t been a great deal of change. This is completely expected whilst the RBA has signaled its intention to maintain its cash rate at 2.5% for some time and, whilst not easy to tell, this yield curve suggests it …

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Jan 13

Longer duration looking less risky…relatively speaking

Source: RBA & Delta Research & Advisory Its definitely been a long time since I posted anything and hopefully this post will at least be a little interesting…I haven’t read a great deal of anything financial over the past few weeks so I apologise if this is old news….but I digress!! Now, the above chart …

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Oct 21

Australian Government Bond Yields…little change in a month but…

  Source: RBA & Delta Research & Advisory The above chart shows very little change in Australian Government Bond yields over the last month which given what’s been happening in the US seems a little surprising. We’ve had massive fund managers losing confidence in the US Government and selling out of Treasury bonds and there …

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Sep 23

RimSec September Research Report

This was written last week so is only a couple of days old so here is the RimSec monthly research report for those who are interested. Click here to download. There is the usual commentary on interest rates, the economy, and market expectations. The final article is a small piece on what is happening and …

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Aug 28

What is the Risk Free asset?

This question is probably only important when establishing a base-line return expectation before we accept various type of investment risk. I guess we all know that technically there is no such thing as a Risk Free Asset but generally speaking it is widely believed that Cash is the risk free asset. Whilst I’m prepared to …

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