Not surprisingly the Australian Government Bond yield curve has flattened signficantly over the last month. The longer part of the curve is lower than it has been for much of this year which is typically an indication of less confidence in the economic outlook in our country. On the other hand, the shorter term yields …
Tag Archive: equities
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May 12
Perpetual Portfolio Manager’s Interesting View
I just had a meeting with Charlie Lanchester, who manages half of Perpetual’s massive Industrial Share Fund, and his views on the Australian economy were far more dire than many commentators are saying. Like many, he believes that commodity prices are very high and showing signs of faultering (doesn’t mean they going to crash just …
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May 06
The extreme but possible storm ahead
Attended a Researcher’s conference yesterday which had an interesting line-up of speakers that covered China, the global economy, Small cap stocks, and . The first guy was very impressive, an investment Strategist, he did a “Me-style” global economic presentation (perhaps that’s why I liked him) where the key points were… Commodity Prices in a bubble Australian …
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Apr 30
To Hedge or not to hedge?…MSCI provides an answer
Interesting paper by MSCI Research came out eaarlier in the week about hedging…click here. Its US centric with some interesting analysis and but the basic conclusion should apply to any country. i.e. basically over the long run currencies revert to the mean resulting in no real difference, but over the shorter term currency effects can …
Apr 14
A lack of Global Small Cap investing???
International equity small-cap stocks widely outperformed large-cap stocks over the year to September 2010, returning 24.4 per cent and 12.7 per cent, respectively in US dollar terms. I took the above from today’s InvestorDaily email and whilst the fact that global small cap outperformed large cap is not surprising, as it is bound to happen …
Mar 22
The Best Australian Share Funds don’t achieve their Alpha Targets
Source: van Eyk, Morningstar The above chart contains some performance statistics of a list of Australian share funds with at least a 5 year track record and were awarded an A-Rating by van Eyk this month. The A-rating is the second highest possible rating van Eyk award with the highest being AA…no Australian share fund achieved an AA …
Mar 21
One Week Later – ASX200 generally unaffected by Japanese Tragedy
Source: Bloomberg The above chart shows the movement in the ASX200 over last week. It closed before the Japanese earthquake on Friday 11th March on basically the same level ot closed on Friday 18th. Given the market is slightly up today (0.35% at the time of writing) means that since the earthquake the Australian market …
Mar 18
Commodity Prices Boom/Bust History
Source: www.macrobusiness.com.au Found the above chart on the brilliant Australian blog, www.macrobusiness.com.au, and its quite a frightening picture indeed. As the headline says, “at no time in the last 200 yeasr have commodity prices risen as fast and as high as in the last decade without a sharp decline”. When you throw in the fact …